-76.0% on capital over 2464 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$383,606 over the whole record
+$59,423-$413,021

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-76.0%
Cumulative P&L
-$383,606
Realized P&L
-$152,294
Win rate
73%
Closing decisions
2464 (6745 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-1.77)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.04
Sortino
-0.04
Max drawdown
94%
Calmar
-0.81
Realized share
41%
Gross leverage
2.2x
Account equity
$55k
Record window
2025-01-14 to 2026-08-19
Last trade
0d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-30 / 22

cumulative P&L $-383606 (-76% of capital), realised $-152294 -> -30

risk-adjusted return-5 / 30

Calmar -0.81 (return -76.0% against a 93.6% worst drawdown) -> -5

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.04 across 653 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

2464 independent decisions (6745 fills), t-stat -1.77 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 41% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-5)

leverage

2.2x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-0), held as a finding until it falls under 2x

Wallet 0x44ff...6997 on Hyperliquid, 6,745 closing fills aggregated into 2464 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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