-96.5% on capital over 475 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$1,745,257 over the whole record
+$125,650-$1,791,293

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-96.5%
Cumulative P&L
-$1,745,257
Realized P&L
-$1,757,708
Win rate
47%
Closing decisions
475 (3845 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-2.49)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.11
Sortino
-0.12
Max drawdown
100%
Calmar
-0.97
Realized share
98%
Gross leverage
3.8x
Account equity
$63k
Record window
2025-06-18 to 2026-08-18
Last trade
1d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-32 / 22

cumulative P&L $-1745257 (-97% of capital), realised $-1757708 -> -32

risk-adjusted return-6 / 30

Calmar -0.97 (return -96.5% against a 100.0% worst drawdown) -> -6

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.12 across 253 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

475 independent decisions (3845 fills), t-stat -2.49 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

3.8x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-4)

Wallet 0xcbbb...fbed on Hyperliquid, 3,845 closing fills aggregated into 475 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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