-20.3% on capital over 20 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$36,672 over the whole record
+$627-$52,631

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-20.3%
Cumulative P&L
-$36,672
Realized P&L
-$1,315
Win rate
55%
Closing decisions
20 (236 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.30)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.07
Sortino
-0.08
Max drawdown
29%
Calmar
-0.69
Realized share
3%
Gross leverage
4.6x
Account equity
$143k
Record window
2026-06-25 to 2026-07-02
Last trade
48d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-36672 (-20% of capital), realised $-1315 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-4 / 30

Calmar -0.69 (return -20.3% against a 29.5% worst drawdown) -> -4

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.08 across 9 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

20 independent decisions (236 fills), t-stat -0.30 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 55

realised share

only 3% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-14)

leverage

4.6x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-6)

liveness

no trade in 48d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x8b82...47b8 on Hyperliquid, 236 closing fills aggregated into 20 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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