-87.2% on capital over 38 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$1,205,486 over the whole record
+$395,480-$1,497,516

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-87.2%
Cumulative P&L
-$1,205,486
Realized P&L
+$146,495
Win rate
82%
Closing decisions
38 (689 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=0.34)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.06
Sortino
0.06
Max drawdown
100%
Calmar
-0.87
Realized share
11%
Gross leverage
4.3x
Account equity
$679k
Record window
2025-07-23 to 2026-06-24
Last trade
36d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-32 / 22

cumulative P&L $-1205486 (-87% of capital), realised +$146495 -> -32

risk-adjusted return-5 / 30

Calmar -0.87 (return -87.2% against a 100.0% worst drawdown) -> -5

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino 0.06 across 7 losing decisions -> +0

significance+0 / 6

38 independent decisions (689 fills), t-stat 0.34 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 11% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-12)

leverage

4.3x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-6)

liveness

no trade in 36d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x73ce...8ce9 on Hyperliquid, 689 closing fills aggregated into 38 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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