+1.7% on capital over 3084 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Fair

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$510 over the whole record
+$4,168-$8,894

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+1.7%
Cumulative P&L
+$510
Realized P&L
-$7,538
Win rate
63%
Closing decisions
3084 (6027 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-1.37)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.02
Sortino
-0.03
Max drawdown
46%
Calmar
0.04
Realized share
43%
Gross leverage
2.7x
Account equity
$27k
Record window
2026-03-26 to 2026-08-21
Last trade
0d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+1 / 22

cumulative P&L +$510 (2% of capital), realised $-7538 -> +1

risk-adjusted return+0 / 30

Calmar 0.04 (return 1.7% against a 45.6% worst drawdown) -> +0

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.03 across 1128 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

3084 independent decisions (6027 fills), t-stat -1.37 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 43% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-4)

leverage

2.7x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0x8bd0...f537 on Hyperliquid, 6,027 closing fills aggregated into 3084 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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