-81.6% on capital over 2083 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$145,930 over the whole record
+$8,939-$150,712

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-81.6%
Cumulative P&L
-$145,930
Realized P&L
-$106,700
Win rate
55%
Closing decisions
2083 (9519 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-1.70)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.04
Sortino
-0.04
Max drawdown
89%
Calmar
-0.91
Realized share
97%
Gross leverage
1.5x
Account equity
$33k
Record window
2024-11-11 to 2026-08-19
Last trade
0d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-32 / 22

cumulative P&L $-145930 (-82% of capital), realised $-106700 -> -32

risk-adjusted return-5 / 30

Calmar -0.91 (return -81.6% against a 89.2% worst drawdown) -> -5

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.04 across 931 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

2083 independent decisions (9519 fills), t-stat -1.70 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

1.5x gross leverage - within a conservative band

Wallet 0xe4be...9b76 on Hyperliquid, 9,519 closing fills aggregated into 2083 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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