-50.2% on capital over 314 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$1,711,696 over the whole record
+$276,414-$1,711,696

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-50.2%
Cumulative P&L
-$1,711,696
Realized P&L
-$742,781
Win rate
60%
Closing decisions
314 (9878 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-1.92)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.11
Sortino
-0.12
Max drawdown
58%
Calmar
-0.86
Realized share
92%
Gross leverage
2.2x
Account equity
$378k
Record window
2025-10-26 to 2026-07-14
Last trade
16d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-20 / 22

cumulative P&L $-1711696 (-50% of capital), realised $-742781 -> -20

risk-adjusted return-5 / 30

Calmar -0.86 (return -50.2% against a 58.4% worst drawdown) -> -5

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.12 across 127 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

314 independent decisions (9878 fills), t-stat -1.92 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.2x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-1)

Wallet 0x5a73...a8c7 on Hyperliquid, 9,878 closing fills aggregated into 314 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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