-14.5% on capital over 433 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$7,357 over the whole record
+$19,890-$17,670

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-14.5%
Cumulative P&L
-$7,357
Realized P&L
+$2,781
Win rate
40%
Closing decisions
433 (1250 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=0.38)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.02
Sortino
0.02
Max drawdown
78%
Calmar
-0.19
Realized share
46%
Gross leverage
1.6x
Account equity
$27k
Record window
2024-03-12 to 2026-06-15
Last trade
68d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-6 / 22

cumulative P&L $-7357 (-14% of capital), realised +$2781 -> -6

risk-adjusted return-1 / 30

Calmar -0.19 (return -14.5% against a 77.8% worst drawdown) -> -1

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino 0.02 across 258 losing decisions -> +0

significance+0 / 6

433 independent decisions (1250 fills), t-stat 0.38 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 46% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-4)

leverage

1.6x gross leverage - within a conservative band

liveness

no trade in 68d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x572e...7b68 on Hyperliquid, 1,250 closing fills aggregated into 433 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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