-63.1% on capital over 217 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$189,319 over the whole record
+$0-$234,616

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-63.1%
Cumulative P&L
-$189,319
Realized P&L
-$127,286
Win rate
57%
Closing decisions
217 (3635 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-2.16)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.15
Sortino
-0.16
Max drawdown
78%
Calmar
-0.81
Realized share
70%
Gross leverage
2.6x
Account equity
$111k
Record window
2026-03-26 to 2026-08-19
Last trade
0d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-25 / 22

cumulative P&L $-189319 (-63% of capital), realised $-127286 -> -25

risk-adjusted return-5 / 30

Calmar -0.81 (return -63.1% against a 78.2% worst drawdown) -> -5

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.16 across 93 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

217 independent decisions (3635 fills), t-stat -2.16 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.6x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), held as a finding until it falls under 2x

Wallet 0x65c6...7dbe on Hyperliquid, 3,635 closing fills aggregated into 217 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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