-18.3% on capital over 630 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$17,901 over the whole record
+$1,397-$33,814

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-18.3%
Cumulative P&L
-$17,901
Realized P&L
-$4,612
Win rate
67%
Closing decisions
630 (3119 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.64)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.03
Sortino
-0.03
Max drawdown
36%
Calmar
-0.51
Realized share
30%
Gross leverage
1.1x
Account equity
$80k
Record window
2025-12-07 to 2026-08-19
Last trade
2d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-17901 (-18% of capital), realised $-4612 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-3 / 30

Calmar -0.51 (return -18.3% against a 36.1% worst drawdown) -> -3

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.03 across 211 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

630 independent decisions (3119 fills), t-stat -0.64 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 30% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-8)

leverage

1.1x gross leverage - within a conservative band

Wallet 0xce56...ccee on Hyperliquid, 3,119 closing fills aggregated into 630 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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