-0.4% on capital over 21 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$419 over the whole record
+$0-$1,837

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-0.4%
Cumulative P&L
-$419
Realized P&L
-$1,771
Win rate
24%
Closing decisions
21 (44 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-2.39)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.52
Sortino
-0.48
Max drawdown
2%
Calmar
-0.21
Realized share
53%
Gross leverage
2.9x
Account equity
$102k
Record window
2024-09-23 to 2026-08-20
Last trade
605d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-419 (-0% of capital), realised $-1771 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-1 / 30

Calmar -0.21 (return -0.4% against a 1.8% worst drawdown) -> -1

downside consistency-4 / 12

Sortino -0.48 across 16 losing decisions -> -4

significance+0 / 6

21 independent decisions (44 fills), t-stat -2.39 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 55

realised share

only 53% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-2)

leverage

2.9x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

liveness

no trade in 605d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x72b7...85b4 on Hyperliquid, 44 closing fills aggregated into 21 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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