-13.4% on capital over 3079 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$375,478 over the whole record
+$1,744-$379,830

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-13.4%
Cumulative P&L
-$375,478
Realized P&L
-$61,744
Win rate
46%
Closing decisions
3079 (15139 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-6.36)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.11
Sortino
-0.15
Max drawdown
14%
Calmar
-0.98
Realized share
100%
Gross leverage
no open position
Account equity
$2.2M
Record window
2025-12-05 to 2026-02-01
Last trade
179d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-375478 (-13% of capital), realised $-61744 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-6 / 30

Calmar -0.98 (return -13.4% against a 13.6% worst drawdown) -> -6

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.15 across 1660 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

3079 independent decisions (15139 fills), t-stat -6.36 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

no open position to measure leverage from - unobserved, no credit either way

record completeness

the fill history hit the paging cap, so this is a partial record - score capped at 60

liveness

no trade in 179d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0xa6a3...5e40 on Hyperliquid, 15,139 closing fills aggregated into 3079 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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