-13.4% on capital over 3649 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$375,214 over the whole record
+$1,744-$383,439

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-13.4%
Cumulative P&L
-$375,214
Realized P&L
-$94,095
Win rate
47%
Closing decisions
3649 (15689 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-8.96)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.15
Sortino
-0.18
Max drawdown
14%
Calmar
-0.97
Realized share
72%
Gross leverage
0.4x
Account equity
$2.2M
Record window
2025-12-18 to 2026-04-20
Last trade
146d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-375214 (-13% of capital), realised $-94095 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-6 / 30

Calmar -0.97 (return -13.4% against a 13.7% worst drawdown) -> -6

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.18 across 1920 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

3649 independent decisions (15689 fills), t-stat -8.96 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

0.4x gross leverage - within a conservative band

record completeness

the fill history hit the paging cap, so this is a partial record - score capped at 60

liveness

no trade in 146d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0xa6a3...5e40 on Hyperliquid, 15,689 closing fills aggregated into 3649 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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