-3.3% on capital over 684 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$45,919 over the whole record
+$325,923-$187,230

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-3.3%
Cumulative P&L
-$45,919
Realized P&L
+$200,949
Win rate
68%
Closing decisions
684 (13194 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=4.18)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.16
Sortino
0.24
Max drawdown
38%
Calmar
-0.09
Realized share
86%
Gross leverage
0.8x
Account equity
$463k
Record window
2026-03-09 to 2026-05-17
Last trade
119d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-1 / 22

cumulative P&L $-45919 (-3% of capital), realised +$200949 -> -1

risk-adjusted return-1 / 30

Calmar -0.09 (return -3.3% against a 38.4% worst drawdown) -> -1

downside consistency+2 / 12

Sortino 0.24 across 218 losing decisions -> +2

significance+0 / 6

684 independent decisions (13194 fills), t-stat 4.18 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

0.8x gross leverage - within a conservative band

record completeness

the fill history hit the paging cap, so this is a partial record - score capped at 60

liveness

no trade in 119d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x4dec...27f6 on Hyperliquid, 13,194 closing fills aggregated into 684 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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