-24.4% on capital over 57 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$4,567 over the whole record
+$8,516-$4,567

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-24.4%
Cumulative P&L
-$4,567
Realized P&L
-$3,849
Win rate
19%
Closing decisions
57 (186 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.43)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.06
Sortino
-0.14
Max drawdown
75%
Calmar
-0.32
Realized share
100%
Gross leverage
no open position
Account equity
$100
Record window
2025-10-17 to 2025-11-04
Last trade
268d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-4567 (-24% of capital), realised $-3849 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-2 / 30

Calmar -0.32 (return -24.4% against a 75.0% worst drawdown) -> -2

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.14 across 46 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

57 independent decisions (186 fills), t-stat -0.43 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

no open position to measure leverage from - unobserved, no credit either way

liveness

completed competition - last traded 268d ago; dormancy expected, not penalised

Wallet 0xc20a...0734 on Hyperliquid, 186 closing fills aggregated into 57 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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