-17.6% on capital over 3276 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$75,985 over the whole record
+$73,163-$102,376

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-17.6%
Cumulative P&L
-$75,985
Realized P&L
-$76,045
Win rate
99%
Closing decisions
3276 (6771 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.58)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.01
Sortino
-0.01
Max drawdown
41%
Calmar
-0.43
Realized share
82%
Gross leverage
2.5x
Account equity
$48k
Record window
2026-02-20 to 2026-08-17
Last trade
2d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-75985 (-18% of capital), realised $-76045 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-3 / 30

Calmar -0.43 (return -17.6% against a 40.7% worst drawdown) -> -3

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.01 across 31 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

3276 independent decisions (6771 fills), t-stat -0.58 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.5x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-1), held as a finding until it falls under 2x

Wallet 0xae6b...8b03 on Hyperliquid, 6,771 closing fills aggregated into 3276 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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