-18.1% on capital over 100 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$6,088 over the whole record
+$1,046-$11,140

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-18.1%
Cumulative P&L
-$6,088
Realized P&L
-$3,306
Win rate
18%
Closing decisions
100 (128 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-3.88)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.39
Sortino
-0.54
Max drawdown
36%
Calmar
-0.50
Realized share
69%
Gross leverage
2.0x
Account equity
$28k
Record window
2026-03-04 to 2026-08-19
Last trade
5d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-6088 (-18% of capital), realised $-3306 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-3 / 30

Calmar -0.50 (return -18.1% against a 36.2% worst drawdown) -> -3

downside consistency-4 / 12

Sortino -0.54 across 82 losing decisions -> -4

significance+0 / 6

100 independent decisions (128 fills), t-stat -3.88 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.0x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-0), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0xe40c...75c2 on Hyperliquid, 128 closing fills aggregated into 100 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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