-17.0% on capital over 218 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$663,469 over the whole record
+$654,262-$670,166

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-17.0%
Cumulative P&L
-$663,469
Realized P&L
-$772,239
Win rate
47%
Closing decisions
218 (3936 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-2.77)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.19
Sortino
-0.20
Max drawdown
34%
Calmar
-0.50
Realized share
84%
Gross leverage
2.7x
Account equity
$2.0M
Record window
2025-10-02 to 2026-08-24
Last trade
23d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-663469 (-17% of capital), realised $-772239 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-3 / 30

Calmar -0.50 (return -17.0% against a 34.0% worst drawdown) -> -3

downside consistency-2 / 12

Sortino -0.20 across 115 losing decisions -> -2

significance+0 / 6

218 independent decisions (3936 fills), t-stat -2.77 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.7x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0xb150...4768 on Hyperliquid, 3,936 closing fills aggregated into 218 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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