-2.7% on capital over 201 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$103,443 over the whole record
+$654,262-$405,091

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-2.7%
Cumulative P&L
-$103,443
Realized P&L
-$565,100
Win rate
51%
Closing decisions
201 (3707 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-2.04)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.14
Sortino
-0.16
Max drawdown
26%
Calmar
-0.10
Realized share
54%
Gross leverage
1.5x
Account equity
$2.9M
Record window
2025-10-02 to 2026-06-02
Last trade
58d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-103443 (-3% of capital), realised $-565100 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-1 / 30

Calmar -0.10 (return -2.7% against a 25.6% worst drawdown) -> -1

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.16 across 98 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

201 independent decisions (3707 fills), t-stat -2.04 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 54% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-1)

leverage

1.5x gross leverage - within a conservative band

liveness

no trade in 58d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0xb150...4768 on Hyperliquid, 3,707 closing fills aggregated into 201 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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