-31.2% on capital over 554 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$116,006 over the whole record
+$70,284-$116,006

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-31.2%
Cumulative P&L
-$116,006
Realized P&L
-$103,496
Win rate
75%
Closing decisions
554 (6452 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.68)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.03
Sortino
-0.03
Max drawdown
50%
Calmar
-0.62
Realized share
100%
Gross leverage
no open position
Account equity
$43k
Record window
2025-09-22 to 2026-08-25
Last trade
16d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-12 / 22

cumulative P&L $-116006 (-31% of capital), realised $-103496 -> -12

risk-adjusted return-4 / 30

Calmar -0.62 (return -31.2% against a 50.1% worst drawdown) -> -4

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.03 across 139 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

554 independent decisions (6452 fills), t-stat -0.68 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

no open position to measure leverage from - unobserved, no credit either way

Wallet 0x8c7b...5ab0 on Hyperliquid, 6,452 closing fills aggregated into 554 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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