+40.6% on capital over 677 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Fair

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$7,632,037 over the whole record
+$8,198,529-$1,876,586

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+40.6%
Cumulative P&L
+$7,632,037
Realized P&L
+$315,465
Win rate
78%
Closing decisions
677 (13820 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=2.23)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.09
Sortino
0.13
Max drawdown
19%
Calmar
2.12
Realized share
26%
Gross leverage
2.8x
Account equity
$11.9M
Record window
2026-09-08 to 2026-09-13
Last trade
0d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+16 / 22

cumulative P&L +$7632037 (41% of capital), realised +$315465 -> +16

risk-adjusted return+13 / 30

Calmar 2.12 (return 40.6% against a 19.1% worst drawdown) -> +13

downside consistency+1 / 12

Sortino 0.13 across 152 losing decisions -> +1

significance+0 / 6

677 independent decisions (13820 fills), t-stat 2.23 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 26% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-8)

leverage

2.8x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0xc179...e0c8 on Hyperliquid, 13,820 closing fills aggregated into 677 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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