-5.8% on capital over 3990 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$158,936 over the whole record
+$45,912-$247,604

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-5.8%
Cumulative P&L
-$158,936
Realized P&L
-$215,680
Win rate
54%
Closing decisions
3990 (13228 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-3.77)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.06
Sortino
-0.07
Max drawdown
11%
Calmar
-0.54
Realized share
90%
Gross leverage
0.5x
Account equity
$1.4M
Record window
2026-03-19 to 2026-06-09
Last trade
96d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-158936 (-6% of capital), realised $-215680 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-3 / 30

Calmar -0.54 (return -5.8% against a 10.8% worst drawdown) -> -3

downside consistency-1 / 12

Sortino -0.07 across 1834 losing decisions -> -1

significance+0 / 6

3990 independent decisions (13228 fills), t-stat -3.77 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

0.5x gross leverage - within a conservative band

record completeness

the fill history hit the paging cap, so this is a partial record - score capped at 60

liveness

no trade in 96d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x8231...1dcb on Hyperliquid, 13,228 closing fills aggregated into 3990 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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