+1.3% on capital over 545 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Fair

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$155 over the whole record
+$1,796-$161

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+1.3%
Cumulative P&L
+$155
Realized P&L
+$779
Win rate
37%
Closing decisions
545 (3579 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=0.31)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.01
Sortino
0.03
Max drawdown
21%
Calmar
0.06
Realized share
100%
Gross leverage
no open position
Account equity
$0
Record window
2025-11-13 to 2025-12-12
Last trade
230d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+1 / 22

cumulative P&L +$155 (1% of capital), realised +$779 -> +1

risk-adjusted return+0 / 30

Calmar 0.06 (return 1.3% against a 21.4% worst drawdown) -> +0

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino 0.03 across 346 losing decisions -> +0

significance+0 / 6

545 independent decisions (3579 fills), t-stat 0.31 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

no open position to measure leverage from - unobserved, no credit either way

liveness

completed competition - last traded 230d ago; dormancy expected, not penalised

Wallet 0xb158...6a3c on Hyperliquid, 3,579 closing fills aggregated into 545 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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