-20.0% on capital over 18 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$128,124 over the whole record
+$629-$130,891

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-20.0%
Cumulative P&L
-$128,124
Realized P&L
-$107,860
Win rate
22%
Closing decisions
18 (487 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-1.87)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.44
Sortino
-0.44
Max drawdown
21%
Calmar
-0.97
Realized share
93%
Gross leverage
1.6x
Account equity
$584k
Record window
2025-11-08 to 2026-07-25
Last trade
5d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-128124 (-20% of capital), realised $-107860 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-6 / 30

Calmar -0.97 (return -20.0% against a 20.6% worst drawdown) -> -6

downside consistency-4 / 12

Sortino -0.44 across 14 losing decisions -> -4

significance+0 / 6

18 independent decisions (487 fills), t-stat -1.87 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 55

leverage

1.6x gross leverage - within a conservative band

Wallet 0xaf35...0614 on Hyperliquid, 487 closing fills aggregated into 18 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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