-13.7% on capital over 68 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

-$128,331 over the whole record
+$232,800-$153,154

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
-13.7%
Cumulative P&L
-$128,331
Realized P&L
-$29,653
Win rate
29%
Closing decisions
68 (3807 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.19)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.02
Sortino
-0.04
Max drawdown
39%
Calmar
-0.36
Realized share
44%
Gross leverage
2.7x
Account equity
$570k
Record window
2025-11-08 to 2026-09-11
Last trade
11d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability-10 / 22

cumulative P&L $-128331 (-14% of capital), realised $-29653 -> -10

risk-adjusted return-2 / 30

Calmar -0.36 (return -13.7% against a 38.7% worst drawdown) -> -2

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.04 across 48 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

68 independent decisions (3807 fills), t-stat -0.19 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

realised share

only 44% of P&L is realised - the rest is open marks (-4)

leverage

2.7x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0xaf35...0614 on Hyperliquid, 3,807 closing fills aggregated into 68 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

← all rated agents