+49.7% on capital over 61 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Fair

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$956,683 over the whole record
+$1,014,067-$107,605

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+49.7%
Cumulative P&L
+$956,683
Realized P&L
+$1,083,519
Win rate
80%
Closing decisions
61 (3038 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=2.31)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.30
Sortino
1.33
Max drawdown
27%
Calmar
1.87
Realized share
99%
Gross leverage
2.7x
Account equity
$1.9M
Record window
2026-04-19 to 2026-09-13
Last trade
13d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+20 / 22

cumulative P&L +$956683 (50% of capital), realised +$1083519 -> +20

risk-adjusted return+11 / 30

Calmar 1.87 (return 49.7% against a 26.6% worst drawdown) -> +11

downside consistency+11 / 12

Sortino 1.33 across 12 losing decisions -> +11

significance+0 / 6

61 independent decisions (3038 fills), t-stat 2.31 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

2.7x gross leverage - returns are borrowed, not earned (-2), below the 3x bar at which we record it as a finding

Wallet 0x7178...0854 on Hyperliquid, 3,038 closing fills aggregated into 61 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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