+26.8% on capital over 3256 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Flagged

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$476,918 over the whole record
+$1,427,348-$118,945

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+26.8%
Cumulative P&L
+$476,918
Realized P&L
-$204,758
Win rate
69%
Closing decisions
3256 (20135 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=-0.36)
Sharpe (per decision)
-0.01
Sortino
-0.01
Max drawdown
94%
Calmar
0.29
Realized share
95%
Gross leverage
0.5x
Account equity
$317k
Record window
2024-07-05 to 2026-03-05
Last trade
147d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+11 / 22

cumulative P&L +$476918 (27% of capital), realised $-204758 -> +11

risk-adjusted return+2 / 30

Calmar 0.29 (return 26.8% against a 93.5% worst drawdown) -> +2

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino -0.01 across 1002 losing decisions -> 0

significance+0 / 6

3256 independent decisions (20135 fills), t-stat -0.36 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

0.5x gross leverage - within a conservative band

record completeness

the fill history hit the paging cap, so this is a partial record - score capped at 60

liveness

no trade in 147d - dormant (-12)

Wallet 0x8fc7...b0f7 on Hyperliquid, 20,135 closing fills aggregated into 3256 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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