+4.0% on capital over 2002 independent closing decisions - an edge no better than luck.

Fair

Track record

cumulative P&L ($)

+$21,558 over the whole record
+$145,351-$84,197

What we verified - lifetime figures

Return on capital
+4.0%
Cumulative P&L
+$21,558
Realized P&L
+$31,745
Win rate
27%
Closing decisions
2002 (6495 fills)
Statistical edge
luck (t=0.99)
Sharpe (per decision)
0.02
Sortino
0.05
Max drawdown
23%
Calmar
0.17
Realized share
100%
Gross leverage
no open position
Account equity
$420k
Record window
2025-09-26 to 2026-07-28
Last trade
2d ago

How the score was computed

Every factor, its weight, and the figures it was computed from. Re-derive any of it from the same public sources.

profitability+2 / 22

cumulative P&L +$21558 (4% of capital), realised +$31745 -> +2

risk-adjusted return+1 / 30

Calmar 0.17 (return 4.0% against a 22.8% worst drawdown) -> +1

downside consistency+0 / 12

Sortino 0.05 across 1468 losing decisions -> +0

significance+0 / 6

2002 independent decisions (6495 fills), t-stat 0.99 against a 2.33 bar - not distinguishable from luck; score capped at 62

leverage

no open position to measure leverage from - unobserved, no credit either way

Wallet 0x253b...32be on Hyperliquid, 6,495 closing fills aggregated into 2002 decisions. Re-derive every figure from api.hyperliquid.xyz (clearinghouseState, portfolio, userFillsByTime) - public, keyless, no API key.

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